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Musk: Grok 5 has a 10% chance of achieving real-time data on the AGI X platform; that's key.

2026-01-15 13:34:59 · · #1


Tesla CEO Elon Musk stated that his AI... (AI) company xAI's upcoming Grok 5 model has a 10% probability of achieving artificial general intelligence (AGI); ② He believes that the key to achieving human-level reasoning ability lies not in the static training datasets used by competitors, but in real-time data.

Tesla CEO Elon Musk stated that his AI company xAI's upcoming Grok 5 model has a 10% probability of achieving artificial general intelligence (AGI).

He believes that the key to achieving human-level reasoning ability lies not in the static training datasets used by competitors, but in real-time data.

In a recent interview at the Barron's Investment Conference, Musk stated that xAI's biggest competitive advantage lies in the data it acquires through the social media platform X.

He said, "Grok 5 is the first time I've felt that the possibility of us achieving AGI is not zero, although the probability is not high."

AGI refers to systems that can reach or surpass human reasoning abilities on any task, not just models like ChatGPT, Claude, or Grok that perform limited tasks.

Musk had previously predicted that AGI could be achieved around 2030, and claimed that the technology could achieve world peace by "disarming all of humanity."

According to Musk, Grok 5 is expected to be released in the first quarter of next year. It is a 6 trillion parameter model with text, image, video and audio capabilities, and its intelligence density per GB will far exceed that of earlier versions.

The world's richest man stated that the success of AI depends on attracting top researchers, rapidly launching new hardware, and acquiring unique data. Regarding data, he pointed out that X is xAI's core advantage.

Musk acquired Twitter for $44 billion in October 2022 and subsequently renamed it X.

“We have the X system, which is the original Twitter, and it’s by far the best source of real-time data in the world,” Musk said.

According to X's Terms of Service, the company may share public posts, interaction data, user profiles, and other public activities with xAI; users interact with the chatbot on the platform. Grok's interactions can also be used to train and optimize xAI models.

Musk also stated that Grok must possess strong video understanding capabilities in order to achieve AGI.

“Its visual capabilities will be incredibly powerful, able to understand real-time video, which I think is a fundamental key point,” Musk explained. “If it can’t even do tasks that humans can easily do, then achieving AGI is simply out of the question.”

(Article source: CLS)

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