Interest rate cut

Interest rate cuts are not a consensus! The Fed's disagreements behind the three dissenting votes revealed in the Fed's December meeting minutes.

On December 29, local time, the minutes of the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting showed that the Federal Op...

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2026-01-12

The Fed meeting minutes revealed internal divisions: the consensus on interest rate cuts is fragile, and the policy path awaits data guidance.

According to the minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) policy meeting held on December 9-10, 2025, althou...

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2026-01-12

US Treasury official: Economy expected to grow by 3% next year; Federal Reserve can still cut interest rates.

① U.S. Treasury officials said on Tuesday that the U.S. economy is expected to grow at a rate of 3%, and in such an env...

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2026-01-12
US Treasury official: Economy expected to grow by 3% next year; Federal Reserve can still cut interest rates.

Is the window for interest rate cuts closed? A hawkish Fed official says there's no need to adjust interest rates in the coming months.

Beth Hammark, a hawkish official at the Federal Reserve and president of the Cleveland Fed, recently stated that after ...

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2026-01-12
Is the window for interest rate cuts closed? A hawkish Fed official says there's no need to adjust interest rates in the coming months.

US November non-farm payrolls will be released tonight. Morgan Stanley: "Moderately weak" employment = increased probability of interest rate cut!

At 21:30 Beijing time tonight, the US will release its November non-farm payrolls report, which was delayed due to the ...

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2026-01-12
US November non-farm payrolls will be released tonight. Morgan Stanley: "Moderately weak" employment = increased probability of interest rate cut!

The final "super week" of 2025: Non-farm payrolls and CPI data are coming in quick succession. How many times will the Fed cut interest rates next year?

This week, US financial The heated debate in the market regarding the extent of future interest rate cuts by the Federa...

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2026-01-12
The final "super week" of 2025: Non-farm payrolls and CPI data are coming in quick succession. How many times will the Fed cut interest rates next year?

Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates again as early as January next year? Wall Street's outlook for 2026: Two rate cuts are becoming the mainstream expectation.

On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve decided to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, in line with market expectations. W...

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2026-01-12
Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates again as early as January next year? Wall Street's outlook for 2026: Two rate cuts are becoming the mainstream expectation.

US pre-market: Major Fed rate decision looms, three major stock index futures all fall

U.S. stock index futures fell across the board in pre-market trading on Wednesday, while most major European indices al...

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2026-01-12
US pre-market: Major Fed rate decision looms, three major stock index futures all fall

As Wall Street celebrates 2026, Deutsche Bank raises a "terrifying" question: What if the Federal Reserve raises interest rates next year?

① Major Wall Street investment banks predict that US stocks will continue their upward trend next year, one of the main...

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2026-01-12
As Wall Street celebrates 2026, Deutsche Bank raises a "terrifying" question: What if the Federal Reserve raises interest rates next year?

Traders prepare for a "Christmas rally" as the Fed's rate cut and balance sheet expansion countdown begins.

With nearly 10 trading days left in the US stock market before the end of the year, "interest rate cut trading&quo...

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2026-01-12
Traders prepare for a "Christmas rally" as the Fed's rate cut and balance sheet expansion countdown begins.

Fed mouthpiece: Faced with rare disagreement, Powell may "cut rates first, then impose limits" tomorrow.

① Nick Timuraus, known as the "Federal Reserve's mouthpiece," said on Tuesday that Fed Chairman Jerome Po...

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2026-01-12
Fed mouthpiece: Faced with rare disagreement, Powell may "cut rates first, then impose limits" tomorrow.

US pre-market: Futures for all three major stock indexes rise as market awaits Fed decision.

U.S. stock index futures rose across the board in pre-market trading on Monday, while major European indices showed mix...

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2026-01-12
US pre-market: Futures for all three major stock indexes rise as market awaits Fed decision.

87% probability of an interest rate cut! The Federal Reserve is about to make a major announcement! The market expects a 0.25 percentage point reduction.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) plans to deliberate on interest rates at its meeting on December 9-10. Financi...

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2026-01-12
87% probability of an interest rate cut! The Federal Reserve is about to make a major announcement! The market expects a 0.25 percentage point reduction.

Expectations of interest rate cuts and a weakening economy have pushed the 4% yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds.

Looking back at November, the US Treasury market experienced a significant trend shift: the 10-year Treasury yield, whi...

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2026-01-12

Has the Fed's mouthpiece spotted something amiss? Powell's allies have paved the way for a December rate cut!

Nick Timiraos, a renowned journalist often referred to as the "new Fed mouthpiece," wrote in a new article on...

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2026-01-12

Federal Reserve voting member: Monetary policy is in the right place; a December rate cut is "unnecessary".

On Saturday (November 22) local time, Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins stated that she believes the Fed d...

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2026-01-12
Federal Reserve voting member: Monetary policy is in the right place; a December rate cut is "unnecessary".

Is the probability of the Federal Reserve not cutting interest rates in December now greater than that of a rate cut? Many people don't believe it.

Although the probability of a Fed rate cut in December has fallen below 50% in the interest rate swap market, some inve...

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2026-01-12
Is the probability of the Federal Reserve not cutting interest rates in December now greater than that of a rate cut? Many people don't believe it.

The Fed's "civil war" intensifies! Leading candidates for chairman support a December rate cut, while the "second-in-command" urges caution.

Ben Waller, a leading candidate to become the next Federal Reserve chair and a current Fed governor, said on Monday tha...

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2026-01-12
The Fed's "civil war" intensifies! Leading candidates for chairman support a December rate cut, while the "second-in-command" urges caution.

Expectations for interest rate cuts have cooled significantly, with the 10-year US Treasury yield rising to 4.15%. Important delayed data is about to be released.

Following the end of the US government shutdown, US Treasury yields continued to rise due to increasingly hawkish rheto...

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2026-01-12
Expectations for interest rate cuts have cooled significantly, with the 10-year US Treasury yield rising to 4.15%. Important delayed data is about to be released.

September non-farm payrolls will be released on Thursday! Wall Street prepares for a "data overload": Is the probability of a December rate cut getting lower and lower?

The U.S. Department of Labor will release September's non-farm payroll data this Thursday. Although this is almost ...

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2026-01-12
September non-farm payrolls will be released on Thursday! Wall Street prepares for a "data overload": Is the probability of a December rate cut getting lower and lower?

Several Federal Reserve officials poured cold water on expectations of interest rate cuts: policy rates are already close to neutral and should not be eased too quickly.

On November 13 local time, several Federal Reserve officials spoke out to pour cold water on the market's rapidly r...

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2026-01-12

"The New Fed Watch" analyzes the prospects for a December rate cut: three major disagreements and two paths.

① Nick Timiraos, a renowned journalist often referred to as the "new Fed's mouthpiece," wrote in a recent...

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2026-01-12

A potential successor to the Federal Reserve chairman has suggested another rate cut in December.

BlackRock Rick Rieder, global chief fixed income investment officer and a potential successor to the Federal Reserve ch...

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2026-01-12

Is a December rate cut "somewhat uncertain"? Federal Reserve officials speak out: No decision has been made due to insufficient data!

Amid the US federal government shutdown and data shortfall, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, Fed Governor Lisa Co...

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2026-01-12

Navigating through the fog! Will the Federal Reserve further exacerbate internal divisions if it cuts interest rates again this week?

The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates for the second consecutive time this week to bolster its falterin...

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2026-01-12
Navigating through the fog! Will the Federal Reserve further exacerbate internal divisions if it cuts interest rates again this week?